Bournemouth U21 vs Brentford U21: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
The model puts Bournemouth U21 at 47%. The model sees this as a close contest. Confidence: medium.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Brentford U21 (2-0-7).
- +Recent form favours Bournemouth U21.
Win probabilities
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Bournemouth U21 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Brentford U21 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Bournemouth U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Bournemouth U21 is priced at 1.96.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Full analysis
The model puts Bournemouth U21 at 47%. The model puts the draw at 21%. The model puts Brentford U21 at 32%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Bournemouth U21. Bournemouth U21 is priced at 1.96. The draw is priced at 4. Brentford U21 is priced at 2.865.
Bournemouth U21 have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Brentford U21 have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings.
Bournemouth U21 have 3 wins in their last 5 matches. Brentford U21 have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 52% for both teams to score. The model gives 49% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Bournemouth U21 or Brentford U21?
Our model rates Bournemouth U21 as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Bournemouth U21 vs Brentford U21?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 9 meetings: 2 Bournemouth U21 wins, 0 draws, 7 Brentford U21 wins.
Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.