Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Marítimo: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sporting Clube de Portugalvs
MarítimoThe model puts Sporting Clube de Portugal at 75%. The model leans toward Sporting Clube de Portugal. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +The head-to-head record favours Sporting Clube de Portugal (9-3-3).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Most likely scorelines
Expected goals
Match DNA
Key points
- Sporting Clube de Portugal have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Marítimo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sporting Clube de Portugal have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Sporting Clube de Portugal is priced at 1.26.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 1 | 15 | 7 | 1 | |||
| 2 | 17 | 8 | 2 | |||
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 4 | 7 | 3 | ||||
| 5 | 3 | 1 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sporting Clube de Portugal at 75%. The model puts the draw at 16%. The model puts Marítimo at 10%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Sporting Clube de Portugal. Sporting Clube de Portugal is priced at 1.26. The draw is priced at 5.7. Marítimo is priced at 9.
Sporting Clube de Portugal have won 9 of the head-to-head meetings. Marítimo have won 3 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Sporting Clube de Portugal have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Marítimo have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 50% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sporting Clube de Portugal or Marítimo?
Our model rates Sporting Clube de Portugal as the most likely outcome at 75% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sporting Clube de Portugal vs Marítimo?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 9 Sporting Clube de Portugal wins, 3 draws, 3 Marítimo wins.
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.