Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Tottenham Hotspurvs
Ipswich TownThe model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 62%. The model leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −Ipswich Town score more per game (1.0 at home vs 2.0 away).
- +Tottenham Hotspur creates more chances (20 vs 11 shots per game).
- +Tottenham Hotspur controls more of the ball (66% vs 46%).
- −The head-to-head history is finely balanced.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Tottenham Hotspur have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Ipswich Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Tottenham Hotspur have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 1.504.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 1 | 11 | 9 | 3 | |||
| 2 | 12 | 10 | 4 | |||
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 3 | |||
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | |||
| 5 | 2 | 2 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Tottenham Hotspur at 62%. The model puts the draw at 20%. The model puts Ipswich Town at 18%. The model's most likely scoreline is 2-0.
The market leans toward Tottenham Hotspur. Tottenham Hotspur is priced at 1.504. The draw is priced at 4.54. Ipswich Town is priced at 5.85.
Tottenham Hotspur have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. Ipswich Town have won 5 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Tottenham Hotspur have 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Ipswich Town have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
Tottenham Hotspur average 1 goals per game this season. Tottenham Hotspur average 66% possession. Ipswich Town average 2 goals per game this season. Ipswich Town average 46% possession.
The model gives 48% for both teams to score. The model gives 57% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Tottenham Hotspur or Ipswich Town?
Our model rates Tottenham Hotspur as the most likely outcome at 62% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?
A scoreline around 2-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 13 meetings: 5 Tottenham Hotspur wins, 3 draws, 5 Ipswich Town wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward over 2.5 goals.
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 15:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 |  Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 |  Everton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 |  Leeds United | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:8 | 14 |
| 9 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Tottenham Hotspur | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 12 |  Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 13 |  Hull City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:13 | 9 |
| 17 |  Coventry City | 10 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 |  Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 19 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:17 | 5 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.