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UEFA Conference League

Sarajevo vs Inter Turku: Prediction, Odds & Analysis

Sarajevo SarajevovsInter Turku Inter Turku
Our predictionSarajevo to win
Model score: Medium · 48/100
Score hint: 1-0

The model puts Sarajevo at 47%. The model leans toward Sarajevo. Confidence: medium.

Our prediction missed (predicted: Sarajevo · actual: Draw)

Win probabilities

1 · SarajevoDraw2 · Inter Turku
Full team comparison

Expected goals

1.39Sarajevo
xG
0.81Inter Turku
Over 2.5 goals38%
Both teams to score42%
Team strength rating
Sarajevo
59
Inter Turku
55

Most likely scorelines

1-015.4%
1-112.5%
0-011.1%
2-010.7%
0-19.0%
2-18.7%

Recent form

Sarajevo
Inter TurkuWWDDD

Match DNA

AttackDefenseFormStrengthH2HVenue
Sarajevo Inter Turku

Key points

Betting angles

MarketPickOddsAssessment
1X2Sarajevo win1.99Fair
Double chanceSarajevo or drawInfo

Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.

Scoreline probability matrix

H \ A012345
01194
1151251
21194
3542
421
5

Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.

Model vs market

Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.

1X2Sarajevo1.99+0.5%
1X2Inter Turku3.56-0.2%
1X2Draw3.44-0.2%
Our model BookmakerPositive edge = model disagreement, not a value bet. Not betting advice.

Full analysis

The model puts Sarajevo at 47%. The model puts the draw at 27%. The model puts Inter Turku at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.

The market leans toward Sarajevo. Sarajevo is priced at 1.99. The draw is priced at 3.44. Inter Turku is priced at 3.565.

Inter Turku have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Inter Turku are on 2 wins in a row.

The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals.

This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.

Prediction Track RecordMethodology →Model card →

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite, Sarajevo or Inter Turku?

Our model rates Sarajevo as the most likely outcome at 47% probability.

What's a likely scoreline for Sarajevo vs Inter Turku?

A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.

See odds at bookmakers

Detailed stats, lineups and the live match story will appear here once match data becomes available.

Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.