Sarajevo vs Inter Turku: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Sarajevovs
Inter TurkuThe model puts Sarajevo at 45%. The model leans toward Sarajevo. Confidence: medium.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Recent form
Match DNA
Key points
- Inter Turku have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Sarajevo is priced at 2.1.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 1 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 2 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | |||
| 4 | 2 | 1 | ||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Sarajevo at 45%. The model puts the draw at 29%. The model puts Inter Turku at 26%. The model's most likely scoreline is 1-0.
The market leans toward Sarajevo. Sarajevo is priced at 2.1. The draw is priced at 3.22. Inter Turku is priced at 3.49.
Inter Turku have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Inter Turku are on 2 wins in a row.
The model gives 42% for both teams to score. The model gives 38% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Sarajevo or Inter Turku?
Our model rates Sarajevo as the most likely outcome at 45% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Sarajevo vs Inter Turku?
A scoreline around 1-0 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.