Hull City vs Everton: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Hull Cityvs
EvertonThe model puts Everton at 51%. The model leans toward Everton. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- +Recent form favours Everton.
- +The head-to-head record favours Everton (2-3-7).
- +Hull City are dealing with notable absentees.
- −Everton are dealing with notable absentees.
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Hull City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Hull City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Hull City will be without Ansah, Hughes, Stroud E., Iroegbunam T., Butland, Gyabi, Matazo, Morita, Norton Cuffy, Targett.
- Everton will be without Mykolenko, Norgaard C., Rohl.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 1 | |
| 1 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | |
| 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | ||
| 3 | 1 | 1 | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Hull City at 24%. The model puts the draw at 25%. The model puts Everton at 51%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Everton. Hull City is priced at 3.92. The draw is priced at 3.34. Everton is priced at 2.005.
Hull City have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. Everton have won 7 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 3 of their head-to-head meetings.
Hull City have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Everton have 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Everton are on 2 wins in a row.
Hull City average 1 goals per game this season. Hull City average 27% possession. Everton average 1 goals per game this season. Everton average 39% possession.
The model gives 41% for both teams to score. The model gives 36% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Hull City or Everton?
Our model rates Everton as the most likely outcome at 51% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Hull City vs Everton?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 12 meetings: 2 Hull City wins, 3 draws, 7 Everton wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
Odds movement
Match statistics
Hull City
- 2Coyle L.
- 3Giles
- 6Ajayi Sem.
- 7Sorba
- 9McBurnie
- 10Belkheir M.
- 15Egan
- 19Tzolakis
- 27Slater
- 29Gourna Douath
- 32Mendy
- Ansah (Missing Player)
- Hughes (Missing Player)
- Stroud E. (Questionable)
- Iroegbunam T. (Questionable)
- Butland (Missing Player)
- Gyabi (Missing Player)
- Matazo (Missing Player)
- Morita (Questionable)
- Norton Cuffy (Questionable)
- Targett (Missing Player)
Everton
- 1Pickford
- 2Maitland-Niles
- 4Branthwaite
- 6Tarkowski
- 8Dewsbury-Hall
- 10Grealish
- 11Barry
- 22Johnson Bre.
- 30Hackney H.
- 37Garner J.
- 45Armstrong
- Mykolenko (Questionable)
- Norgaard C. (Questionable)
- Rohl (Questionable)
League table
England. Premier League| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 |  Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 3 |  Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 13 |
| 4 |  Brentford | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:13 | 10 |
| 6 |  Leeds United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 7 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 8 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:3 | 9 |
| 9 |  Ipswich Town | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 10 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 11 |  Newcastle United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 12 |  Manchester United | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 14 |  Aston Villa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:11 | 5 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6:12 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 3 |
| 18 |  Tottenham Hotspur | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 19 |  Coventry City | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1:10 | 3 |
| 20 |  Fulham | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.