Racing de Santander vs Real Madrid: Prediction, Odds & Analysis
Racing de Santandervs
Real MadridThe model puts Real Madrid at 72%. The model leans toward Real Madrid. Confidence: high.
Why this prediction
+ supports the predicted pick, − argues against it.
- −The head-to-head record favours Racing de Santander (12-1-2).
Win probabilities
Model vs market
Markets where our model disagrees with the bookmaker. A positive edge means our model rates the outcome more likely than the odds imply. This is model disagreement, not proven value — we do not yet publish historical profitability.
Recent form
Expected goals
Most likely scorelines
Match DNA
Key points
- Racing de Santander have 1 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Real Madrid have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
- Racing de Santander have won 12 of the head-to-head meetings.
- Real Madrid is priced at 1.25.
Betting angles
Assessments compare our model probability with the bookmaker odds. A positive edge means our model rates the pick higher than the market implies — model disagreement, not proven value. Not betting advice.
Scoreline probability matrix
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 1 |
| 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Each cell shows the probability (%) of that exact scoreline (home goals down the side, away goals across the top). Computed from a Poisson model on expected goals.
Full analysis
The model puts Racing de Santander at 14%. The model puts the draw at 14%. The model puts Real Madrid at 72%. The model's most likely scoreline is 0-1.
The market leans toward Real Madrid. Racing de Santander is priced at 9.5. The draw is priced at 6.7. Real Madrid is priced at 1.25.
Racing de Santander have won 12 of the head-to-head meetings. Real Madrid have won 2 of the head-to-head meetings. The sides have drawn 1 of their head-to-head meetings.
Racing de Santander have 1 wins in their last 5 matches. Real Madrid have 0 wins in their last 5 matches.
Racing de Santander average 2 goals per game this season. Racing de Santander average 41% possession.
The model gives 32% for both teams to score. The model gives 39% for over 2.5 goals.
This prediction is a statistical analysis, not a guarantee. Higher confidence means the signals agree more strongly, but football is unpredictable. Always bet responsibly.
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite, Racing de Santander or Real Madrid?
Our model rates Real Madrid as the most likely outcome at 72% probability.
What's a likely scoreline for Racing de Santander vs Real Madrid?
A scoreline around 0-1 fits our analysis, as a pointer, not a certainty.
What's the head-to-head record?
In the last 15 meetings: 12 Racing de Santander wins, 1 draws, 2 Real Madrid wins.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The indicators lean toward under 2.5 goals.
League table
Spain. La Liga| # | Team | GP | W | L | T | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39:9 | 27 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:9 | 21 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:14 | 19 |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17:17 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:16 | 14 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Alaves | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 |  Celta | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Deportivo de A Coruna | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 10 |  Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:18 | 11 |
| 11 |  Levante UD | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 12 |  Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 13 |  Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:17 | 9 |
| 15 |  Getafe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5:11 | 9 |
| 16 |  Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing de Santander | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:25 | 8 |
| 18 |  Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:17 | 7 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:15 | 6 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6:18 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical analysis for information only, not betting advice or a guarantee. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.